South Africa Inflation Slows To 3.5%, Rate Cut Likely

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January brought South Africans some relief as inflation slowed to 3.5%, down from 3.6% in December.

On Wednesday, Statistics South Africa published the data, showing prices moving closer to the central bank’s 3% target.

January brought South Africans some relief as inflation slowed to 3.5%, down from 3.6% in Dec. On Wednesday, South Africa published the data

South Africa Inflation Eases In January

Consequently, the change raises hopes of a possible interest rate cut when policymakers meet next month.

Mixed Food Prices

However, price movements remained uneven across food categories, offering both relief and frustration to households.

For example, staples such as rice and maize meal became noticeably cheaper, easing pressure on family budgets.

White rice fell 11% for the eleventh consecutive month, while maize meal dropped from 9.5% to 2.6%.

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Similarly, dairy products and eggs became slightly cheaper, with a tray of six eggs costing R22.90.

Moreover, olive oil and butter prices fell, contributing further to easing food costs across supermarkets.

Yet meat prices continued to rise sharply, limiting relief for shoppers nationwide.

Beef steak jumped 31.2%, stewing beef rose 30.3%, and pork increased 19.5% year-on-year.

As a result, overall meat inflation reached 13.5%, the highest level since December 2017, straining household budgets.

Central Bank Watch

Meanwhile, the Reserve Bank faces a careful balancing act as global uncertainty affects policy decisions.

At its last meeting, it kept the benchmark rate at 6.75%, citing risks from rising food and electricity costs.

Although inflation is moderating, external shocks and supply risks make policymakers cautious about cutting rates.

Finally, the latest figures strengthen the case for a potential rate cut at the March 26 meeting.

Similarly, Nigeria saw inflation ease slightly to 15.10%, reflecting a modest improvement.

For households, cheaper staples bring welcome relief, but rising meat prices continue to bite.

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