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Infrastructure issues, pipeline leaks and oil theft have squeezed Nigerian output this year, leaving the country consistently below its OPEC+ crude targets. Nigeria’s own submission to the OPEC Secretariat put September crude output at just 938,000 b/d, just over half its quota for the month, while total liquids production was only 1.14mn b/d, according to the NUPRC.
Notwithstanding the challenges, the Nigerian National Petroleum Company (NNPC) Limited is hopeful the country’s oil production will rebound to 1.8mn b/d by the end of the year and to increase further in 2023.
If Nigeria is successful in increasing its oil production, it may again broach the subject of adjusting the baseline production figure that determines its quotas within the OPEC+ group.
The total production from January to September of 2021, which included crude oil and condensate, stood at 452,051,631 barrels.
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The total production from January to September of 2022, made up of crude oil, blended and unblended condensate stood at 331,825,054 barrels.
This development brought the level of loss in a space of nine months to 120,226,577 barrels.